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What to Expect in October

Publié par MEXEM Analyse technique

October 2, 2024
(GMT+2)
As the financial market continually transforms, investors are perennially on the hunt for the next lucrative venture. Growth stocks frequently emerge as enticing investment prospects, offering substantial potential for substantial long-term yields. In this piece, we'll delve into several standout growth stocks to monitor in October 2024 and beyond, and discuss their potential merits for inclusion in your investment portfolio.


Nike Inc. {{ m-tag option="price" ticker="NKE" currency="USD" }}

Nike, a global leader in athletic apparel and footwear, continues to dominate the sportswear industry. However, fiscal year 2025 has seen the company navigating several financial and operational hurdles, including slowing sales in key markets.

Financial Performance:

In Q1 2025, Nike posted earnings of $0.70 per share, surpassing estimates, but revenue fell to $11.6 billion, slightly missing forecasts. The company’s revenue drop reflects challenges in North America, where sales fell 11%, and in China, which saw a 3% decline. Nike’s Direct sales fell by 13%, driven by a 20% decrease in digital sales. Wholesale revenues also fell by 8%, totaling $6.4 billion. Despite these declines, Nike's net income reached $1.05 billion, although down from $1.45 billion the previous year, indicating ongoing pressure on profitability.

Strategic Moves and Market Sentiment:

A major shift for Nike came with the announcement of Elliott Hill, a veteran of the company, taking over as CEO. This leadership transition has sparked optimism among investors, especially as Hill has a history of driving growth in key markets. Nike's decision to withdraw full-year 2025 guidance suggests caution as the company navigates internal changes and competitive pressures. Analysts at Wells Fargo and Evercore raised their price targets for Nike, reflecting confidence in Hill’s ability to revive sales. Still, concerns persist about Nike's slowing North American and digital sales.

Investment Outlook:

Nike’s prospects depend heavily on Hill’s ability to reinvigorate growth in key markets, particularly North America and China. As Nike strengthens its wholesale channels and focuses on innovation, its brand equity remains strong, positioning it well for long-term growth. However, short-term risks, including declining sales and heightened competition from brands like On and Hoka, pose challenges. Investors should monitor developments closely, particularly regarding product innovation and market share recovery efforts under the new leadership.

Tesco PLC  {{ m-tag option="price" ticker="TSCO.L" currency="GBp" }}

Tesco, the UK’s largest supermarket chain, continues to be a dominant force in the retail sector. The company has adapted well to a competitive landscape, leveraging technological advancements and operational efficiencies to maintain its leadership.

Financial Performance:

Tesco reported a strong Q1 2024, with like-for-like sales up 3.6% in the UK and Ireland, reaching £14.3 billion. This growth is underpinned by the company’s ability to capitalize on the struggles of key competitors like Morrisons and Asda. Despite a competitive environment, Tesco has maintained full-year guidance, expecting retail adjusted operating profit of £2.8 billion and significant free cash flow generation, projected between £1.4 billion and £1.8 billion. The company’s solid financial footing is further reflected in its strong market capitalization of £24.38 billion.

Strategic Moves and Market Sentiment:

Tesco has been at the forefront of retail innovation, particularly with its expansion of artificial intelligence (AI) in customer personalization. CEO Ken Murphy highlighted that AI would play a key role in helping Tesco customers make healthier choices, reduce waste, and improve shopping experiences. The integration of AI, coupled with the broad reach of the Clubcard loyalty program (used by over 22 million UK households), strengthens Tesco's ability to drive customer retention and engagement. The company also continues to reap the benefits of competitors' struggles, particularly private equity-backed rivals Morrisons and Asda.

Investment Outlook:

Tesco's strategic focus on AI and its continued dominance in the UK grocery market make it a solid investment option. Its ability to adapt to changing market conditions, maintain a strong balance sheet, and leverage technology for personalized shopping experiences sets it apart from competitors. The company’s £1 billion share buyback program and expected dividend increase to 13p per share reflect confidence in future cash flow generation. Investors should keep an eye on further developments in Tesco’s AI initiatives and how they impact overall profitability.

PepsiCo Inc. {{ m-tag option="price" ticker="PEP" currency="USD" }}

PepsiCo is a global leader in beverages and snacks, with a diverse product portfolio that includes some of the world’s most recognizable brands. The company continues to navigate a challenging consumer environment, marked by rising input costs and changing preferences.

Financial Performance:

PepsiCo’s stock currently trades at about $170 with a market capitalization of $235.40 billion. In its most recent quarter, PepsiCo reported earnings that exceeded expectations, but revenue fell short, indicating pressure on the company’s top line. The North American snack division saw a 4% decline in volume, reflecting the challenges PepsiCo faces in a price-sensitive environment. Despite these short-term pressures, PepsiCo's profitability remains robust, with strong cash flow supporting dividend payouts and stock repurchases.

Strategic Moves and Market Sentiment:

In a major acquisition, PepsiCo is set to buy Siete Foods, a producer of grain-free snacks, for $1.2 billion. This strategic acquisition aims to diversify PepsiCo's product offerings, targeting health-conscious consumers. Siete’s distribution across 40,000 retail locations, including major retailers like Target and Whole Foods, aligns with PepsiCo’s goal of expanding its footprint in healthier snack categories. The acquisition reflects PepsiCo’s strategy of meeting evolving consumer demands while maintaining its leadership in the snack and beverage markets.

Investment Outlook:

PepsiCo's acquisition of Siete Foods strengthens its position in the fast-growing health-conscious snack segment. While the company faces near-term challenges due to volume declines in key markets, its ability to diversify product offerings and maintain steady profitability makes it a solid investment. Investors should monitor how well PepsiCo integrates Siete Foods into its broader portfolio and whether this acquisition helps counteract the pressure on its North American snack business.


Super Micro Computer Inc. {{ m-tag option="price" ticker="SMCI" currency="USD" }}

Super Micro Computer Inc. is a leading global provider of high-performance server and storage solutions, focusing on cloud computing, AI, 5G, and data center infrastructure. Headquartered in Silicon Valley, the company has grown rapidly, capitalizing on the increasing demand for advanced technology in the enterprise and AI sectors.

Financial Performance:

Super Micro’s financial growth has been remarkable, with revenue for fiscal Q4 2024 reaching $14.94 billion, a 110% increase year-over-year. Net income for the period was $352.73 million, marking an 82.22% rise. However, the company faced challenges in free cash flow, reporting a negative $697.32 million, largely due to increased operating and investing expenses. Its robust balance sheet includes $1.67 billion in cash and short-term investments, which grew by 279% year-over-year, highlighting its liquidity position.

Strategic Moves and Market Sentiment:

Super Micro’s success is driven by its continuous innovation in AI and cloud computing infrastructure. The company recently expanded its manufacturing capabilities, adding three new facilities in Silicon Valley to meet the rising demand for AI-driven solutions. In June, Super Micro introduced Intel-based servers tailored for AI and cloud applications, positioning the company to capture more market share in the rapidly growing AI and enterprise sectors. Additionally, a 10-for-1 stock split was implemented to make shares more accessible and improve liquidity, a move that has garnered positive sentiment from analysts like Loop Capital, which maintains a bullish outlook with a $1,000 target (pre-split).

Investment Outlook:

Despite challenges with cash flow, Super Micro’s strong revenue growth and expanding market presence in high-demand sectors such as AI, 5G, and cloud computing make it a compelling long-term investment. As AI adoption accelerates, the company’s focus on developing cutting-edge technology will likely drive continued growth. Investors should watch for improvements in free cash flow management, but the overall outlook remains positive given the company's leadership in a high-growth market.

Tesla Inc. {{ m-tag option="price" ticker="TSLA" currency="USD" }}

Tesla, the world’s leading electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer, continues to innovate across the automotive and energy sectors. The company remains at the forefront of EV production and autonomous driving technologies, positioning itself as a key player in the global transition to sustainable energy.

Financial Performance:

Tesla is projected to report Q3 2024 vehicle deliveries totaling around 462,000 units, reflecting a 6% year-over-year growth. This would make it the company’s third-best quarter in terms of deliveries, following strong performances in Q2 2023 and Q4 2023. Despite this growth, competition from Chinese EV makers like Nio, BYD, and XPeng has intensified, particularly in China, Tesla’s largest international market. Tesla’s stock has climbed approximately 22% in September, reflecting investor confidence ahead of key product launches.

Strategic Moves and Market Sentiment:

October is a crucial month for Tesla, with both its Robotaxi announcement and Q3 earnings report due. The much-anticipated Robotaxi service has generated excitement among investors, with Ark Invest projecting that the service could significantly boost Tesla’s valuation. The company is also focusing on expanding its presence in China, leveraging price cuts and incentives to remain competitive in a market increasingly dominated by local manufacturers. Analysts, including those from Barclays and Wedbush, expect Tesla to hit its full-year delivery target of 1.8 million vehicles.

Investment Outlook:

Tesla’s long-term outlook remains strong, supported by its leadership in EV technology and autonomous driving initiatives. However, increasing competition from Chinese manufacturers and regulatory hurdles related to autonomous vehicles pose challenges. Investors should keep a close eye on the company’s delivery numbers and progress in its Robotaxi development, which could unlock significant value if successful. In the short term, Tesla’s stock performance is likely to be influenced by its Q3 delivery report and the upcoming Robotaxi event.

Conclusion :

October promises to be an eventful month for the stock market, with significant developments across industries. Nike faces leadership transitions and competitive pressures, while Tesco continues to leverage AI to enhance customer engagement. PepsiCo strengthens its position in the health-conscious snack market with the acquisition of Siete Foods, and Super Micro Computer capitalizes on AI and cloud infrastructure demands. Finally, Tesla navigates a competitive EV market while gearing up for its much-anticipated Robotaxi launch. Investors should stay informed and consider these companies as part of a diversified strategy to navigate market volatility.



Les informations contenues dans le site mexem.com sont données à titre d'information générale uniquement. Elles ne doivent pas être considérées comme des conseils en matière d'investissement. Investir dans des actions comporte des risques. Les performances passées d'une action ne sont pas un indicateur fiable de ses performances futures. Consultez toujours un conseiller financier ou des sources fiables avant de prendre toute décision d'investissement.

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